Holiday-Adjacent Waiting Game

Holiday-Adjacent Waiting Game

Monday may not have been an official holiday for the U.S. bond market, but it way as well have been. Volume certainly acted the part, which is no surprise considering overseas holiday closures. Headlines and data had a limited impact, at best. In general the market is waiting to see what happens in Iran after tomorrow night’s deadline on Trump’s ultimatum to reopen shipping channels.

Econ Data / Events

ISM N-Mfg PMI (Mar)

54.0 vs 55 f’cast, 56.1 prev

ISM Services Employment (Mar)

45.2 vs — f’cast, 51.8 prev

ISM Services New Orders (Mar)

60.6 vs — f’cast, 58.6 prev

ISM Services Prices (Mar)

70.7 vs — f’cast, 63.0 prev

Market Movement Recap

09:03 AM A hair weaker overnight but rallying into positive territory in early trading. MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 1bp at 4.332

01:05 PM MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 0.7bps at 4.334

03:05 PM MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 1bp at 4.331